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📅 October 9, 2026

El Sackico II: Manchester United v Tottenham, and Whoever Loses Is in Trouble

Watch the video version of this story On @mavjonesdotcom, in about a minute. ▶ Play on TikTok
Graphic: El Sackico II, Manchester United v Tottenham at Old Trafford on Saturday 10 October 2026, one combined league win between the two clubs this season, United 12th on five points and Spurs bottom on two, with Alan Shearer's line that De Zerbi can't afford to lose 2-0 or 3-0.

Manchester United play Tottenham at Old Trafford on Saturday, and the internet has already named it. El Sackico. Two managers, one pitch, and a widely held belief that whoever loses will be updating his LinkedIn by Monday.

Before we get to the funny bit, the facts, because the facts are the funny bit. United have five points from five games, their joint-worst start to a Premier League season, level with Louis van Gaal’s 2014-15 side. Spurs have two points, two goals, no wins, and are bottom of the table. Between them, two of the richest clubs in the country have produced, so far this season, one league win.

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El Sackico I: a brief history

This is a sequel. The original El Sackico was played on 30 October 2021, when Ole Gunnar Solskjaer’s United went to Nuno EspĂ­rito Santo’s Spurs with both men under the kind of pressure that makes a club’s official statement say “fully supports”. United won 3-0. Ronaldo volleyed one in, set up Cavani for the second, and Rashford added a third while the home end chanted things about Nuno that we can’t print on a family website.

Nuno was sacked two days later. Ole lasted three more weeks before a 4-1 defeat at Watford finished him off too. So the first El Sackico set the standard that the sequel has to live up to: both managers gone within 22 days of the final whistle. No pressure, lads.

Planet Football, who gave the sequel its name, point out that these two clubs “converge in crisis with such preposterous frequency” that there was nearly a third edition last year, when Ange Postecoglou and Ruben Amorim met in the Europa League final and both got the sack afterwards anyway. Ange won the trophy. It didn’t help.

In the red corner

Michael Carrick, who took the job in May, won the Super Cup in August, lost a derby to ten men, and has since been described by Gary Neville as overseeing “the worst 15 minutes I’ve ever seen them play”. Carrick’s response to that was to say he was “convinced we’ll have a good season”. It is October.

The injury list reads like a squad list. Sesko (shin, no date), Dorgu (hamstring, sent home by Denmark), Mazraoui (back), de Ligt (back, since November, but he’s played a friendly so there’s hope), Amad (ankle), Ugarte (knee), Heaton (hamstring). Rashford and Mainoo both left the England squad and both, according to the latest reports, will be fine, which is the kind of sentence United fans have learned to read twice.

The good news is Carlos Baleba. He played his first United minutes in a closed-doors friendly last week and is expected to be in the squad. He cost a reported ÂŁ65 million in August and has yet to kick a ball in anger, which under the circumstances makes him the most popular man at the club.

The club, for what it’s worth, says there are no concerns about Carrick’s position. Clubs always say that. It’s what they said about Nuno.

In the white corner

Roberto De Zerbi has Spurs bottom of the table for the first time in 18 years, with two goals in five matches, which is fewer goals than Bruno Fernandes has had international injury scares this month. He is the bookmakers’ favourite in the next-manager-to-go market, which is a rare honour given who he’s playing against.

Alan Shearer, asked whether De Zerbi survives the weekend, put it with his usual delicacy: “He can’t afford to play Man United and be beaten 2 or 3-0, that’s for sure.” Shearer’s prediction, for what it’s worth, is a draw. Which would mean nobody gets sacked and everybody is miserable, the traditional Premier League outcome.

Spurs’ own injury list is holding up its end: Xavi Simons, Odobert, Mudryk, Porro and Kulusevski are all out, and Jan Paul van Hecke, who had started every league game, is a doubt with the foot injury he picked up with the Netherlands. Spurs’ chief executive Vinai Venkatesham has said the club has confidence in De Zerbi. See the note above about what clubs always say.

The maths of it

What makes Saturday properly dangerous for both of them is the calendar. The international break has given the sack-race columnists two weeks with nothing to write about except this game, so it arrives with more build-up than a cup final. A United win moves them to eight points and the conversation moves on to Atlético on Tuesday. A Spurs win takes them off the bottom and probably buys De Zerbi until November. A draw changes nothing, which means two more weeks of this.

And a heavy loss for either side, at home for United or at all for Spurs, is the result that history says gets a manager sacked. Not because one game should decide it, but because it’s a Saturday 5:30 kick-off with nothing else on, every pundit in the country is watching, and the only thing a board hates more than paying a manager off is being asked why they haven’t.

What United should actually do

Win a football match. Specifically: the predicted XI is the Fulham side unchanged, which is also the side that drew with Everton and lost to City. The one decision that would change anything is Baleba for Mainoo in the pivot, and every prediction has Carrick waiting a week. Against a Spurs team that has scored twice all season, a clean sheet is not a lot to ask. United have kept one all season, against Sabah in the Champions League qualifier, so it is apparently quite a lot to ask.

Spurs will sit in and hope. United will have the ball and 26 shots, like at Fulham, and the question is whether any of them go in. If they do, Carrick is fine and De Zerbi is on a plane. If they don’t, the sequel might outdo the original.

Old Trafford, Saturday 10 October, 5:30pm UK, 12:30pm Eastern on NBC. Referee Stuart Attwell. Bring a cushion.

The video side

The confirmed team sheets go up on the TikTok account about an hour before kick-off, with the headshot line-up panels, and the match clock follows. It’s called “Man United, for Americans”, and it’s where the line-ups and the arguments go.

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Sources: Planet Football (21 September 2026) for the “El Sackico II” framing and the “converge in crisis” line; Football365 (8 October 2026) for the Shearer quotes and prediction, the sack-market favourite, and United’s five points from five; Read Man Utd (8 October 2026) for both injury lists, the kick-off time, the broadcasters and the referee; Sky Sports (20 September 2026) for the Neville quote and Al Jazeera (21 September) for Carrick’s; the Opta note on United’s joint-worst start (five points, level with 2014-15) from our Fulham match report; the 2021 El Sackico from manutd.com’s match report (30 October 2021, Ronaldo 39, Cavani 64, Rashford 87), Reuters via Ahram (Nuno sacked 1 November 2021) and CBS Sports (Solskjaer sacked 21 November 2021); the 18-years-bottom line and the Venkatesham backing from Spurs Web and AllFootball (October 2026). Nothing has been confirmed by either club; both managers speak on Friday.

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